Calculate How Much Your Bar Is Losing to Shrinkage

The average bar pours 15–20% more than it sells. Enter your numbers to see what that leak costs you — and what Bar-i typically recovers.

Monthly beverage sales
Liquor cost (pour cost %)
Typical shrinkage assumption used15%

Most operators don't know their real shrinkage until they compare what was sold against what was actually poured. We use the industry-typical 15% so you get a realistic starting picture.

Your numbers, step by step
Monthly product cost$10,000
Estimated monthly shrinkage$1,500
Estimated product-cost recovery per month$1,000
You're losing about
$18,000
per year at wholesale cost — roughly $36,000/year in estimated business impact¹
With Bar-i, typically recover
$18,800
net per year after the Bar-i Pro service cost — a 362% return²
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¹ Business impact uses a conservative 2× multiplier on wholesale loss, reflecting lost sales alongside product cost. Retail-equivalent impact can run higher.

² Assumes shrinkage drops to around 5%, the level our higher-performing clients reach, and a Bar-i Pro service cost starting at $5,200 per year based on counts every two weeks and an annual software subscription. Excludes time savings: cutting count time from about three hours to one saves a further ~$1,560 a year (26 counts at $30/hour manager cost).

How the math works

Example using $50,000 in monthly beverage sales and a 20% beverage cost. That's $10,000 of product used per month. At the industry-typical 15% shrinkage rate, $1,500 of that product disappears every month without matching sales — $18,000 a year at product cost. Because lost product also means lost sales, the real business impact is conservatively twice that: about $36,000 a year. Bars that bring shrinkage down to around 5% recover $1,000 of product a month. Doubled for business impact and annualised, that is $24,000 a year — or roughly $18,800 net after Bar-i Pro service starting at $5,200 a year, a return of about 3.6×. Your own figures above update independently of this example.

Want your results and the next steps?

Enter your details and we'll email your results along with practical videos and guides on reducing beverage loss, improving inventory accuracy, and comparing what was sold with what was poured.

HubSpot form placement

Fields: first name, email, bar name. Hidden fields will carry the visitor's calculator inputs and results. Form to be built in phase 2, once approved.

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Frequently asked questions

What is bar shrinkage?

Bar shrinkage is the gap between the product your bar pours and the product it actually sells. It comes from over-pouring, spillage, unrecorded comps, giveaways and theft. The industry typically runs 15–20% shrinkage, meaning a bar pours 15–20% more than it rings up.

How is the annual loss calculated?

Monthly beverage sales multiplied by your beverage cost percentage gives your monthly product cost. Multiplying that by the 15% shrinkage assumption gives the product lost each month, and multiplying by twelve gives the annual figure at product cost.

Why is the business impact double the product cost?

Product that disappears was never sold, so the loss is not only what the bottle cost but the revenue it would have earned. We apply a conservative 2× multiplier rather than a full retail-equivalent figure, which would be considerably higher.

What does Bar-i Pro cost?

Bar-i Pro service starts at $5,200 per year, based on counts every two weeks and an annual software subscription. The calculator subtracts that starting cost when showing your net annual impact.

Can every bar get shrinkage down to 5%?

Five percent is the level our higher-performing clients reach, not a guarantee. The gain depends on acting on the variance data each count produces. Bars that review results weekly and coach their staff see the biggest improvement.